Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.355362 4.035216 4.795669 5.706080 6.762961 7.947691 9.372562
2025-04-06 2.387201 3.251150 4.321492 5.731537 7.525068 9.713782 12.568288
2025-04-13 1.770420 2.687148 3.926785 5.695518 8.118723 11.281917 15.675077
2025-04-20 1.466066 2.440165 3.857687 6.016988 9.156955 13.478999 19.780964
2025-04-27 1.217300 2.204710 3.740147 6.218793 10.015197 15.483811 23.792558
2025-05-04 1.050397 2.053197 3.707590 6.517649 11.018914 17.758708 28.359662
2025-05-11 0.861600 1.819085 3.494825 6.487081 11.492868 19.270852 31.912637
2025-05-18 0.682781 1.559606 3.188395 6.244903 11.580277 20.172840 34.584399
2025-05-25 0.535506 1.324217 2.878848 5.941704 11.512491 20.796726 36.838480
2025-06-01 0.449315 1.193206 2.738759 5.916223 11.904395 22.180755 40.390160
2025-06-08 0.384678 1.093580 2.641535 5.952853 12.400970 23.766536 44.371613
2025-06-15 0.327664 0.997278 2.533261 5.949087 12.814805 25.230865 48.235901
2025-06-22 0.260283 0.858511 2.311673 5.690688 12.731135 25.835936 50.714842
2025-06-29 0.220702 0.782256 2.217169 5.686015 13.141238 27.364480 54.929610
2025-07-06 0.185409 0.707414 2.111351 5.639728 13.458984 28.741851 58.962121
2025-07-13 0.172430 0.696416 2.161888 5.954585 14.554758 31.668834 66.016939
2025-07-20 0.155685 0.668401 2.163208 6.153165 15.420117 34.208334 72.499909
2025-07-27 0.144437 0.655630 2.202967 6.448772 16.521929 37.283549 80.171405
2025-08-03 0.123405 0.601033 2.116195 6.418302 16.895162 38.926990 85.190369
2025-08-10 0.099662 0.526848 1.956981 6.178298 16.764793 39.531983 88.216805
2025-08-17 0.078712 0.454369 1.785708 5.877898 16.456897 39.737345 90.451596
2025-08-24 0.067317 0.417906 1.719429 5.852646 16.799692 41.333142 95.563909
2025-08-31 0.058715 0.390557 1.677246 5.888932 17.295304 43.288016 101.514691